Economy

May 1, 2017

Is The Economy Beginning To Slow? (Audio)

Karl discussed that this morning on the Trey Ware Show.

April 25, 2017

New Home Sales Reach A Post Recession High

Today, new home sales were released for the month of March. In March, there were 621,000 new homes sold.

April 18, 2017

Are Falling Interest Rates A Concern?

In the last couple of weeks, there’s been a flight to safety, namely in good ‘ole American treasury bonds. Just when you thoughts rates were going to go straight up, they have reversed are now at their lowest level since just after the election.

March 17, 2017

This Indicator Just Hit An All-Time High…And It’s Good For The Stock Market

Wall Street and the media tend to focus on only a small handful of economic indicators. But, there is one that is often overlooked or underappreciated. With over 5 decades of history, this particular indicator has predicted every recession over that time

March 8, 2017

Oil Takes A Tumble

In the last few months, regardless of the good or bad oil inventory reports, oil seemed to ignore it. In fact, there were plenty of days when the data wasn’t good and yet oil went up. Today was different.

February 15, 2017

Prices Are Rising At Their Fastest Pace In 5 Years

The Labor Department reported that consumer prices (CPI) in January grew at its fast pace since 2012 (based on year over year percentage change).

January 6, 2017

WAGES ARE RISING AND IMPACTING BONDS

This morning, the Labor Department released the December jobs figures.  While the jobs added in December was less than expected, the previous month’s was revised up substantially.  Embedded in the numbers was the average hourly earnings which stole the show today. Year over year, that number rose by 2.9%.  This was the highest since 2009 and […]

December 21, 2016

Is The Federal Reserve Behind The Curve?

The Fed recently raised interest rates, but only for the 2nd time in 10 years. And, after forecasting 4 rate hikes in 2016, they only raised rates by 0.25% one time in 2016. But, where should interest rates be at this point in the cycle?

September 3, 2016

LABOR MARKET DASHBOARD – SEPTEMBER 3, 2016

The U.S. added 151,000 jobs in the month of August, below the estimate of 180,000. July’s report was revised up by 20,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.9%. We’ve updated our latest labor market dashboard.

July 21, 2016

This Indicator Shows No Recession In Sight

This morning, the Leading Economic Indicators Index was released and showed a 0.3% change from the prior month and now sits at a post-recession high.